線上雙語知識平台

影片中提及了2021年的十個危機，小編決定說說動盪數十年的阿富汗的一些重點：

阿富汗 在遜尼派伊斯蘭原教旨主義武裝組織塔利班統治下的阿富汗為9/11恐襲者提供庇護，美國及其北約（NATO)盟友就捲入了長達18年的戰爭，遲遲無法消除塔利班的勢力。

在2014年，因為持續的戰爭，北約結束作戰任務，國家處於動盪，阿富汗政府與塔利班持續出現糾紛，塔利班的勢力不斷擴大。

最終，和平對話展開，美國與北約承諾會在2021年5月前從阿富汗撤兵，但是這都在於三方（美國、阿富汗政府以及塔利班的妥協態度）。譬如，塔利班近期多了一些侵略性行為及攻擊。其中一個原因是阿富汗政府與塔利班之間的囚犯交換被延緩了，而導致塔利班不滿。

因此，美國的突然撤軍可能破壞阿富汗政府的穩定，並可能導致擴大的多黨內戰。但是，美國軍隊延長逗留在阿富汗的話，可能會促使塔利班放棄會談並強化其軍事行動。美國總統拜登曾表示想保留幾千名反恐軍人在阿富汗區域。2021年將會是解決阿富汗危機的關鍵年份。

當然，另外的國家危機亦值得我們關注，例如最近陷入內戰的埃塞俄比亞，導致在國家內強迫遷移的人口達到一百萬，5萬人逃離到鄰近蘇丹。

[Sustainable Development Goal 16: 和平與公義］️

According to the International Crisis Group’s prediction, not only will 2021 welcome more economic problems, leading to the deterioration of existing conflicts worldwide, some regions will also be more persistently susceptible to severe crises.

The video mentions 10 crises in 2021. The editor decides to talk about Afghanistan, which has been affected by decades of instability.

Afghanistan Afghanistan under the rule of the Taliban, a Sunni Islamic fundamentalist militant group, provided refuge to the 9/11 terrorist attackers. The United States and her NATO allies were involved in an 18-year war and have been unable to eliminate the Taliban’s influence.

In 2014, because of the ongoing war, NATO ended combat missions. With the Afghan government and the Taliban’s continued disputes, the country was in turmoil, and the Taliban’s power continued to expand.

In the end, peace talks began, and the United States and NATO promised to withdraw troops from Afghanistan by May 2021, but it all depends on the three parties (the compromise attitude of the United States, the Afghan government, and the Taliban). For example, the Taliban have engaged in more aggressive behaviors and attacks recently. One of the reasons is that the prisoner exchange between the Afghan government and the Taliban has been delayed, which has caused dissatisfaction with the Taliban.

Therefore, the sudden withdrawal of US troops may destabilize the Afghan government and may lead to an expanded multi-party civil war. However, the extension of the US military’s stay in Afghanistan may prompt the Taliban to abandon the talks and strengthen their military operations. US President Biden has expressed his desire to keep thousands of anti-terrorist force in Afghanistan. 2021 will be a critical year to resolve the crisis in Afghanistan.

Of course, other national crises are also worthy of our attention. For example, Ethiopia, which has recently fallen into a civil war, has led to the forced displacement of one million people within the country and 50,000 people have fled to neighboring Sudan.